2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary
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36 delegates (31 pledged, 5 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() County results
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2020 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, 2020, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Arkansas primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 36 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 31 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
Former vice president Joe Biden won every county but Washington County, home to the University of Arkansas, and received 41% of the vote and 17 delegates, far ahead of senator Bernie Sanders' 22% and former mayor Michael Bloomberg's 17%, who won 9 and 5 delegates respectively. Senator Elizabeth Warren did not pass the 15% threshold.
Procedure
[edit]Arkansas was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday",[1] having joined other states on the date after the signing of a bill calling for simultaneous state, local, and presidential primaries on the first Tuesday in March in presidential election years by governor Asa Hutchinson on March 21, 2019.[2]
In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 31 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 6 were allocated to each of the state's 4 congressional districts and another 4 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 7 at-large delegates. The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general.[3]
The congressional district caucus and state conventions were all held virtually on May 30, 2020, as a "first-in-the-nation virtual convention" in Little Rock, to vote on all pledged degates from district-level and statewide level.[4] The delegation also included 5 unpledged PLEO delegates: 5 members of the Democratic National Committee.[5]
Pledged national convention delegates | |
---|---|
Type | Del. |
CD1 | 4 |
CD2 | 6 |
CD3 | 5 |
CD4 | 5 |
PLEO | 4 |
At-large | 7 |
Total pledged delegates | 31 |
Candidates
[edit]The following people have filed for the presidential primary.[6]
Running
Withdrawn
Polling
[edit]Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Other/ Undecided[b] | |||
270 to Win[7] | March 3, 2020 | February 6–March 2, 2020 | 27.7% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 0.5% | 19.5% | |||
RealClear Politics[8] | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight[9] | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[c] | 27.5% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 20.6% | |||
Average | 27.6% | 21.65% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 0.4% | 20.05% | |||||
Arkansas primary results (March 3, 2020) | 40.5% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 10.0% | 0.7% | 9.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arkansas Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable[10] | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 714 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 28% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 13%[e] | – | ||||||
Data for Progress[11] | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 36% | 22% | 2% | 23% | 15% | 2%[f] | – | ||||||
The Progress Campaign (D)[12][1] | Feb 21–25, 2020 | 209 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 6%[g] | 10%[h] | ||||||
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics[13] | February 6–7, 2020 | 496 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 10.1%[i] | 11% |
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/2f/Arkansas_Democratic_presidential_primary_election_results_by_county_%28vote_share%29%2C_2020.svg/250px-Arkansas_Democratic_presidential_primary_election_results_by_county_%28vote_share%29%2C_2020.svg.png)
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 93,012 | 40.59 | 17 |
Bernie Sanders | 51,413 | 22.44 | 9 |
Michael Bloomberg | 38,312 | 16.72 | 5 |
Elizabeth Warren | 22,971 | 10.03 | |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[a] | 7,649 | 3.34 | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[a] | 7,009 | 3.06 | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[a] | 2,053 | 0.90 | |
Tulsi Gabbard | 1,593 | 0.70 | |
Kamala Harris (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 574 | 0.25 | |
Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 572 | 0.25 | |
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 501 | 0.22 | |
Steve Bullock (withdrawn) | 485 | 0.21 | |
John Delaney (withdrawn) | 443 | 0.19 | |
Joe Sestak (withdrawn) | 408 | 0.18 | |
Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 304 | 0.13 | |
Other candidate | 393 | 0.17 | |
Total | 229,122 | 100% | 31 |
Results by county
[edit]2020 Arkansas Democratic primary
(results per county)[15] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Joe Biden | Bernie Sanders | Michael Bloomberg | Elizabeth Warren | Pete Buttigieg | Amy Klobuchar | Tom Steyer | Tulsi Gabbard | Kamala Harris | Andrew Yang | Michael Bennet | Cory Booker | Marianne Williamson | Steve Bullock | John Delaney | Joe Sestak | Mosie Boyd | Julian Castro | Total votes cast | ||||||||||||||||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Arkansas | 450 | 49.23 | 125 | 13.68 | 158 | 17.29 | 81 | 8.86 | 21 | 2.30 | 35 | 3.83 | 16 | 1.75 | 10 | 1.09 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.11 | 3 | 0.33 | 4 | 0.44 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0.66 | 2 | 0.22 | 914 |
Ashley | 633 | 52.40 | 253 | 20.94 | 133 | 11.01 | 62 | 5.13 | 29 | 2.40 | 29 | 2.40 | 7 | 0.58 | 7 | 0.58 | 5 | 0.41 | 3 | 0.25 | 7 | 0.58 | 5 | 0.41 | 10 | 0.83 | 12 | 0.99 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0.50 | 4 | 0.33 | 1,208 |
Baxter | 955 | 43.02 | 448 | 20.18 | 400 | 18.02 | 188 | 8.47 | 100 | 4.50 | 79 | 3.56 | 11 | 0.50 | 7 | 0.32 | 8 | 0.36 | 7 | 0.32 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0.23 | 4 | 0.18 | 3 | 0.14 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0.05 | 2,220 |
Benton | 5,745 | 31.65 | 5,270 | 29.03 | 2,819 | 15.53 | 2,438 | 13.43 | 1,001 | 5.51 | 498 | 2.74 | 118 | 0.65 | 95 | 0.52 | 9 | 0.05 | 60 | 0.33 | 10 | 0.06 | 13 | 0.07 | 18 | 0.10 | 16 | 0.09 | 9 | 0.05 | 11 | 0.06 | 5 | 0.03 | 17 | 0.09 | 18,152 |
Boone | 676 | 40.36 | 406 | 24.24 | 265 | 15.82 | 152 | 9.07 | 65 | 3.88 | 55 | 3.28 | 8 | 0.48 | 22 | 1.31 | 2 | 0.12 | 6 | 0.36 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0.06 | 3 | 0.18 | 5 | 0.30 | 3 | 0.18 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0.06 | 1,675 |
Bradley | 372 | 54.95 | 96 | 14.18 | 106 | 15.66 | 24 | 3.55 | 15 | 2.22 | 8 | 1.18 | 16 | 2.36 | 5 | 0.74 | 14 | 2.07 | 1 | 0.15 | 4 | 0.59 | 9 | 1.33 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 0.15 | 677 |
Calhoun | 141 | 43.93 | 53 | 16.51 | 66 | 20.56 | 13 | 4.05 | 13 | 4.05 | 8 | 2.49 | 2 | 0.62 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 0.31 | 2 | 0.62 | 5 | 1.56 | 4 | 1.25 | 1 | 0.31 | 3 | 0.93 | 2 | 0.62 | 3 | 0.93 | 2 | 0.62 | 1 | 0.31 | 321 |
Carroll | 742 | 31.60 | 728 | 31.01 | 293 | 12.48 | 308 | 13.12 | 120 | 5.11 | 91 | 3.88 | 12 | 0.51 | 28 | 1.19 | 4 | 0.17 | 8 | 0.34 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0.04 | 4 | 0.17 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0.09 | 2,348 |
Chicot | 711 | 54.27 | 197 | 15.04 | 266 | 20.31 | 45 | 3.44 | 14 | 1.07 | 18 | 1.37 | 10 | 0.76 | 4 | 0.31 | 8 | 0.61 | 4 | 0.31 | 7 | 0.53 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0.08 | 7 | 0.53 | 6 | 0.46 | 3 | 0.23 | 5 | 0.38 | 3 | 0.23 | 1,310 |
Clark | 948 | 48.79 | 331 | 17.04 | 282 | 14.51 | 150 | 7.72 | 57 | 2.93 | 68 | 3.50 | 28 | 1.44 | 11 | 0.57 | 23 | 1.18 | 8 | 0.41 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.26 | 3 | 0.15 | 7 | 0.36 | 8 | 0.41 | 10 | 0.51 | 2 | 0.10 | 1,943 |
Clay | 262 | 39.70 | 115 | 17.42 | 179 | 27.12 | 35 | 5.30 | 14 | 2.12 | 14 | 2.12 | 10 | 1.52 | 5 | 0.76 | 6 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.30 | 6 | 0.91 | 2 | 0.30 | 4 | 0.61 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 660 |
Cleburne | 556 | 45.61 | 178 | 14.60 | 278 | 22.81 | 85 | 6.97 | 40 | 3.28 | 44 | 3.61 | 14 | 1.15 | 8 | 0.66 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0.08 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 0.16 | 1,219 |
Cleveland | 186 | 47.21 | 66 | 16.75 | 70 | 17.77 | 17 | 4.31 | 9 | 2.28 | 17 | 4.31 | 5 | 1.27 | 5 | 1.27 | 1 | 0.25 | 3 | 0.76 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1.27 | 3 | 0.76 | 1 | 0.25 | 3 | 0.76 | 2 | 0.51 | 1 | 0.25 | 394 |
Columbia | 613 | 52.66 | 175 | 15.03 | 187 | 16.07 | 51 | 4.38 | 16 | 1.37 | 25 | 2.15 | 26 | 2.23 | 13 | 1.12 | 8 | 0.69 | 4 | 0.34 | 6 | 0.52 | 6 | 0.52 | 8 | 0.69 | 7 | 0.60 | 10 | 0.86 | 6 | 0.52 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.26 | 1,164 |
Conway | 974 | 45.73 | 359 | 16.85 | 370 | 17.37 | 125 | 5.87 | 68 | 3.19 | 62 | 2.91 | 52 | 2.44 | 27 | 1.27 | 26 | 1.22 | 6 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.14 | 6 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.14 | 6 | 0.28 | 10 | 0.47 | 10 | 0.47 | 22 | 1.03 | 1 | 0.05 | 2,130 |
Craighead | 1,849 | 36.14 | 1,397 | 27.31 | 873 | 17.06 | 487 | 9.52 | 198 | 3.87 | 166 | 3.24 | 31 | 0.61 | 26 | 0.51 | 13 | 0.25 | 22 | 0.43 | 3 | 0.06 | 8 | 0.16 | 6 | 0.12 | 21 | 0.41 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 0.04 | 9 | 0.18 | 5,116 |
Crawford | 1,061 | 37.91 | 623 | 22.26 | 569 | 20.33 | 221 | 7.90 | 71 | 2.54 | 80 | 2.86 | 56 | 2.00 | 30 | 1.07 | 9 | 0.32 | 14 | 0.50 | 7 | 0.25 | 7 | 0.25 | 11 | 0.39 | 4 | 0.14 | 2 | 0.07 | 6 | 0.21 | 23 | 0.82 | 5 | 0.18 | 2,799 |
Crittenden | 1,652 | 53.20 | 491 | 15.81 | 568 | 18.29 | 144 | 4.64 | 43 | 1.38 | 68 | 2.19 | 20 | 0.64 | 21 | 0.68 | 11 | 0.35 | 20 | 0.64 | 10 | 0.32 | 9 | 0.29 | 12 | 0.39 | 7 | 0.23 | 7 | 0.23 | 11 | 0.35 | 5 | 0.16 | 6 | 0.19 | 3,105 |
Cross | 430 | 48.37 | 149 | 16.76 | 161 | 18.11 | 44 | 4.95 | 36 | 4.05 | 22 | 2.47 | 8 | 0.90 | 4 | 0.45 | 8 | 0.90 | 3 | 0.34 | 4 | 0.45 | 5 | 0.56 | 2 | 0.22 | 3 | 0.34 | 4 | 0.45 | 3 | 0.34 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0.11 | 889 |
Dallas | 350 | 53.68 | 58 | 8.90 | 108 | 16.56 | 18 | 2.76 | 7 | 1.07 | 28 | 4.29 | 17 | 2.61 | 12 | 1.84 | 5 | 0.77 | 4 | 0.61 | 1 | 0.15 | 12 | 1.84 | 2 | 0.31 | 10 | 1.53 | 3 | 0.46 | 3 | 0.46 | 10 | 1.53 | 4 | 0.61 | 652 |
Desha | 641 | 52.16 | 173 | 14.08 | 227 | 18.47 | 46 | 3.74 | 16 | 1.30 | 29 | 2.36 | 23 | 1.87 | 6 | 0.49 | 12 | 0.98 | 6 | 0.49 | 13 | 1.06 | 13 | 1.06 | 6 | 0.49 | 7 | 0.57 | 2 | 0.16 | 3 | 0.24 | 5 | 0.41 | 1 | 0.08 | 1,229 |
Drew | 655 | 46.49 | 225 | 15.97 | 264 | 18.74 | 81 | 5.75 | 23 | 1.63 | 71 | 5.04 | 14 | 0.99 | 10 | 0.71 | 5 | 0.35 | 5 | 0.35 | 6 | 0.43 | 7 | 0.50 | 7 | 0.50 | 17 | 1.21 | 4 | 0.28 | 11 | 0.78 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0.07 | 1,409 |
Faulkner | 3,059 | 34.27 | 2,503 | 28.04 | 1,223 | 13.70 | 1,295 | 14.51 | 294 | 3.29 | 317 | 3.55 | 57 | 0.64 | 54 | 0.60 | 21 | 0.24 | 24 | 0.27 | 13 | 0.15 | 8 | 0.09 | 12 | 0.13 | 19 | 0.21 | 5 | 0.06 | 6 | 0.07 | 11 | 0.12 | 6 | 0.07 | 8,927 |
Franklin | 355 | 36.08 | 147 | 14.94 | 247 | 25.10 | 72 | 7.32 | 32 | 3.25 | 42 | 4.27 | 19 | 1.93 | 13 | 1.32 | 11 | 1.12 | 3 | 0.30 | 5 | 0.51 | 11 | 1.12 | 6 | 0.61 | 2 | 0.20 | 7 | 0.71 | 4 | 0.41 | 4 | 0.41 | 4 | 0.41 | 984 |
Fulton | 331 | 40.66 | 154 | 18.92 | 160 | 19.66 | 56 | 6.88 | 25 | 3.07 | 28 | 3.44 | 12 | 1.47 | 6 | 0.74 | 1 | 0.12 | 8 | 0.98 | 12 | 1.47 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.37 | 9 | 1.11 | 3 | 0.37 | 1 | 0.12 | 2 | 0.25 | 814 |
Garland | 2,890 | 36.85 | 1,653 | 21.08 | 1,550 | 19.76 | 677 | 8.63 | 391 | 4.99 | 389 | 4.96 | 87 | 1.11 | 48 | 0.61 | 19 | 0.24 | 30 | 0.38 | 6 | 0.08 | 20 | 0.26 | 34 | 0.43 | 7 | 0.09 | 19 | 0.24 | 10 | 0.13 | 7 | 0.09 | 6 | 0.08 | 7,843 |
Grant | 355 | 36.52 | 172 | 17.70 | 191 | 19.65 | 85 | 8.74 | 54 | 5.56 | 55 | 5.66 | 16 | 1.65 | 10 | 1.03 | 3 | 0.31 | 4 | 0.41 | 6 | 0.62 | 3 | 0.31 | 4 | 0.41 | 6 | 0.62 | 2 | 0.21 | 2 | 0.21 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 | 0.10 | 972 |
Greene | 646 | 34.96 | 399 | 21.59 | 426 | 23.05 | 133 | 7.20 | 82 | 4.44 | 56 | 3.03 | 24 | 1.30 | 15 | 0.81 | 3 | 0.16 | 15 | 0.81 | 7 | 0.38 | 11 | 0.60 | 5 | 0.27 | 12 | 0.65 | 10 | 0.54 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 1,848 |
Hempstead | 549 | 55.57 | 128 | 12.96 | 149 | 15.08 | 43 | 4.35 | 15 | 1.52 | 28 | 2.83 | 10 | 1.01 | 8 | 0.81 | 9 | 0.91 | 1 | 0.10 | 4 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.20 | 9 | 0.91 | 15 | 1.52 | 10 | 1.01 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.20 | 4 | 0.40 | 988 |
Hot Spring | 735 | 38.99 | 452 | 23.98 | 344 | 18.25 | 111 | 5.89 | 43 | 2.28 | 85 | 4.51 | 26 | 1.38 | 11 | 0.58 | 5 | 0.27 | 11 | 0.58 | 12 | 0.64 | 9 | 0.48 | 9 | 0.48 | 3 | 0.16 | 14 | 0.74 | 3 | 0.16 | 5 | 0.27 | 7 | 0.37 | 1,885 |
Howard | 358 | 52.49 | 104 | 15.25 | 81 | 11.88 | 38 | 5.57 | 19 | 2.79 | 29 | 4.25 | 12 | 1.76 | 6 | 0.88 | 7 | 1.03 | 3 | 0.44 | 5 | 0.73 | 3 | 0.44 | 3 | 0.44 | 5 | 0.73 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.29 | 4 | 0.59 | 3 | 0.44 | 682 |
Independence | 796 | 41.22 | 354 | 18.33 | 338 | 17.50 | 200 | 10.36 | 61 | 3.16 | 79 | 4.09 | 24 | 1.24 | 28 | 1.45 | 7 | 0.36 | 7 | 0.36 | 4 | 0.21 | 8 | 0.41 | 9 | 0.47 | 5 | 0.26 | 2 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.26 | 2 | 0.10 | 1,931 |
Izard | 356 | 45.01 | 144 | 18.20 | 120 | 15.17 | 64 | 8.09 | 34 | 4.30 | 41 | 5.18 | 2 | 0.25 | 6 | 0.76 | 3 | 0.38 | 6 | 0.76 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0.13 | 5 | 0.63 | 1 | 0.13 | 791 |
Jackson | 466 | 46.32 | 163 | 16.20 | 193 | 19.18 | 57 | 5.67 | 35 | 3.48 | 31 | 3.08 | 7 | 0.70 | 12 | 1.19 | 5 | 0.50 | 2 | 0.20 | 9 | 0.89 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.50 | 11 | 1.09 | 4 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.10 | 1,006 |
Jefferson | 5,018 | 48.40 | 1,496 | 14.43 | 2,238 | 21.59 | 649 | 6.26 | 114 | 1.10 | 197 | 1.90 | 189 | 1.82 | 85 | 0.82 | 31 | 0.30 | 40 | 0.39 | 23 | 0.22 | 62 | 0.60 | 43 | 0.41 | 27 | 0.26 | 25 | 0.24 | 64 | 0.62 | 14 | 0.14 | 53 | 0.51 | 10,368 |
Johnson | 573 | 33.43 | 356 | 20.77 | 303 | 17.68 | 161 | 9.39 | 85 | 4.96 | 86 | 5.02 | 47 | 2.74 | 31 | 1.81 | 4 | 0.23 | 14 | 0.82 | 9 | 0.53 | 9 | 0.53 | 7 | 0.41 | 7 | 0.41 | 6 | 0.35 | 6 | 0.35 | 3 | 0.18 | 7 | 0.41 | 1,714 |
Lafayette | 237 | 68.30 | 37 | 10.66 | 40 | 11.53 | 8 | 2.31 | 5 | 1.44 | 4 | 1.15 | 3 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1.15 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1.15 | 4 | 1.15 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 347 |
Lawrence | 391 | 36.37 | 187 | 17.40 | 211 | 19.63 | 78 | 7.26 | 37 | 3.44 | 47 | 4.37 | 32 | 2.98 | 39 | 3.63 | 8 | 0.74 | 8 | 0.74 | 4 | 0.37 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.28 | 13 | 1.21 | 7 | 0.65 | 3 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.28 | 1,075 |
Lee | 420 | 53.98 | 112 | 14.40 | 142 | 18.25 | 12 | 1.54 | 5 | 0.64 | 26 | 3.34 | 10 | 1.29 | 9 | 1.16 | 2 | 0.26 | 4 | 0.51 | 21 | 2.70 | 1 | 0.13 | 4 | 0.51 | 2 | 0.26 | 2 | 0.26 | 3 | 0.39 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0.13 | 778 |
Lincoln | 371 | 52.33 | 119 | 16.78 | 107 | 15.09 | 20 | 2.82 | 7 | 0.99 | 26 | 3.67 | 13 | 1.83 | 12 | 1.69 | 4 | 0.56 | 5 | 0.71 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.42 | 4 | 0.56 | 2 | 0.28 | 9 | 1.27 | 2 | 0.28 | 2 | 0.28 | 709 |
Little River | 379 | 54.53 | 97 | 13.96 | 94 | 13.53 | 36 | 5.18 | 17 | 2.45 | 12 | 1.73 | 5 | 0.72 | 7 | 1.01 | 9 | 1.29 | 3 | 0.43 | 6 | 0.86 | 5 | 0.72 | 7 | 1.01 | 6 | 0.86 | 1 | 0.14 | 3 | 0.43 | 2 | 0.29 | 6 | 0.86 | 695 |
Logan | 415 | 40.33 | 163 | 15.84 | 261 | 25.36 | 76 | 7.39 | 27 | 2.62 | 19 | 1.85 | 21 | 2.04 | 10 | 0.97 | 4 | 0.39 | 7 | 0.68 | 7 | 0.68 | 4 | 0.39 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.19 | 4 | 0.39 | 4 | 0.39 | 3 | 0.29 | 1,029 |
Lonoke | 1,252 | 37.97 | 795 | 24.11 | 560 | 16.99 | 298 | 9.04 | 131 | 3.97 | 135 | 4.09 | 28 | 0.85 | 27 | 0.82 | 11 | 0.33 | 15 | 0.45 | 9 | 0.27 | 3 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.09 | 9 | 0.27 | 4 | 0.12 | 10 | 0.30 | 3 | 0.09 | 4 | 0.12 | 3,297 |
Madison | 391 | 35.48 | 269 | 24.41 | 202 | 18.33 | 92 | 8.35 | 52 | 4.72 | 26 | 2.36 | 17 | 1.54 | 15 | 1.36 | 6 | 0.54 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 0.09 | 4 | 0.36 | 6 | 0.54 | 5 | 0.45 | 6 | 0.54 | 2 | 0.18 | 4 | 0.36 | 2 | 0.18 | 1,102 |
Marion | 327 | 38.02 | 210 | 24.42 | 148 | 17.21 | 72 | 8.37 | 47 | 5.47 | 28 | 3.26 | 7 | 0.81 | 4 | 0.47 | 4 | 0.47 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0.70 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.23 | 860 |
Miller | 1,069 | 61.09 | 270 | 15.43 | 215 | 12.29 | 78 | 4.46 | 23 | 1.31 | 22 | 1.26 | 9 | 0.51 | 10 | 0.57 | 11 | 0.63 | 2 | 0.11 | 5 | 0.29 | 7 | 0.40 | 9 | 0.51 | 5 | 0.29 | 7 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.11 | 4 | 0.23 | 2 | 0.11 | 1,750 |
Mississippi | 1,017 | 51.05 | 322 | 16.16 | 381 | 19.13 | 101 | 5.07 | 34 | 1.71 | 29 | 1.46 | 9 | 0.45 | 9 | 0.45 | 5 | 0.25 | 11 | 0.55 | 13 | 0.65 | 13 | 0.65 | 5 | 0.25 | 16 | 0.80 | 10 | 0.50 | 10 | 0.50 | 4 | 0.20 | 3 | 0.15 | 1,992 |
Monroe | 375 | 48.70 | 132 | 17.14 | 109 | 14.16 | 39 | 5.06 | 11 | 1.43 | 12 | 1.56 | 12 | 1.56 | 16 | 2.08 | 4 | 0.52 | 4 | 0.52 | 26 | 3.38 | 10 | 1.30 | 4 | 0.52 | 5 | 0.65 | 3 | 0.39 | 5 | 0.65 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0.13 | 770 |
Montgomery | 226 | 45.02 | 85 | 16.93 | 85 | 16.93 | 36 | 7.17 | 15 | 2.99 | 27 | 5.38 | 7 | 1.39 | 3 | 0.60 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.20 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 0.20 | 502 |
Nevada | 299 | 51.37 | 90 | 15.46 | 77 | 13.23 | 34 | 5.84 | 6 | 1.03 | 26 | 4.47 | 11 | 1.89 | 7 | 1.20 | 3 | 0.52 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 0.17 | 4 | 0.69 | 7 | 1.20 | 4 | 0.69 | 4 | 0.69 | 4 | 0.69 | 1 | 0.17 | 3 | 0.52 | 582 |
Newton | 184 | 39.66 | 137 | 29.53 | 61 | 13.15 | 53 | 11.42 | 5 | 1.08 | 11 | 2.37 | 1 | 0.22 | 7 | 1.51 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 464 |
Ouachita | 1,218 | 57.29 | 295 | 13.88 | 348 | 16.37 | 67 | 3.15 | 49 | 2.30 | 39 | 1.83 | 13 | 0.61 | 19 | 0.89 | 11 | 0.52 | 8 | 0.38 | 14 | 0.66 | 3 | 0.14 | 12 | 0.56 | 13 | 0.61 | 3 | 0.14 | 4 | 0.19 | 8 | 0.38 | 2 | 0.09 | 2,126 |
Perry | 269 | 33.17 | 164 | 20.22 | 181 | 22.32 | 71 | 8.75 | 29 | 3.58 | 43 | 5.30 | 14 | 1.73 | 4 | 0.49 | 6 | 0.74 | 6 | 0.74 | 3 | 0.37 | 5 | 0.62 | 5 | 0.62 | 4 | 0.49 | 3 | 0.37 | 2 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.00 | 811 |
Phillips | 969 | 52.52 | 291 | 15.77 | 296 | 16.04 | 94 | 5.09 | 19 | 1.03 | 53 | 2.87 | 8 | 0.43 | 21 | 1.14 | 10 | 0.54 | 9 | 0.49 | 7 | 0.38 | 14 | 0.76 | 6 | 0.33 | 7 | 0.38 | 18 | 0.98 | 15 | 0.81 | 2 | 0.11 | 6 | 0.33 | 1,845 |
Pike | 190 | 41.67 | 73 | 16.01 | 68 | 14.91 | 42 | 9.21 | 16 | 3.51 | 33 | 7.24 | 8 | 1.75 | 8 | 1.75 | 2 | 0.44 | 3 | 0.66 | 4 | 0.88 | 5 | 1.10 | 1 | 0.22 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.22 | 456 |
Poinsett | 393 | 46.56 | 168 | 19.91 | 157 | 18.60 | 49 | 5.81 | 10 | 1.18 | 13 | 1.54 | 12 | 1.42 | 9 | 1.07 | 2 | 0.24 | 3 | 0.36 | 2 | 0.24 | 4 | 0.47 | 3 | 0.36 | 7 | 0.83 | 4 | 0.47 | 2 | 0.24 | 4 | 0.47 | 2 | 0.24 | 844 |
Polk | 272 | 31.74 | 208 | 24.27 | 157 | 18.32 | 74 | 8.63 | 40 | 4.67 | 40 | 4.67 | 16 | 1.87 | 13 | 1.52 | 1 | 0.12 | 9 | 1.05 | 6 | 0.70 | 1 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.47 | 1 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.47 | 7 | 0.82 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 0.23 | 857 |
Pope | 1,070 | 34.35 | 861 | 27.64 | 491 | 15.76 | 323 | 10.37 | 134 | 4.30 | 113 | 3.63 | 28 | 0.90 | 19 | 0.61 | 7 | 0.22 | 11 | 0.35 | 6 | 0.19 | 3 | 0.10 | 15 | 0.48 | 8 | 0.26 | 11 | 0.35 | 10 | 0.32 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.06 | 3,115 |
Prairie | 207 | 47.70 | 76 | 17.51 | 69 | 15.90 | 23 | 5.30 | 5 | 1.15 | 20 | 4.61 | 6 | 1.38 | 7 | 1.61 | 4 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0.92 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0.69 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0.92 | 1 | 0.23 | 3 | 0.69 | 434 |
Pulaski | 24,587 | 44.66 | 11,063 | 20.10 | 8,991 | 16.33 | 6,261 | 11.37 | 1,604 | 2.91 | 1,503 | 2.73 | 236 | 0.43 | 227 | 0.41 | 114 | 0.21 | 86 | 0.16 | 123 | 0.22 | 93 | 0.17 | 25 | 0.05 | 27 | 0.05 | 27 | 0.05 | 39 | 0.07 | 28 | 0.05 | 18 | 0.03 | 55,052 |
Randolph | 333 | 32.84 | 225 | 22.19 | 246 | 24.26 | 72 | 7.10 | 35 | 3.45 | 40 | 3.94 | 9 | 0.89 | 11 | 1.08 | 13 | 1.28 | 4 | 0.39 | 2 | 0.20 | 9 | 0.89 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.10 | 6 | 0.59 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0.10 | 3 | 0.30 | 1,014 |
Saline | 3,121 | 37.30 | 1,814 | 21.68 | 1,532 | 18.31 | 834 | 9.97 | 399 | 4.77 | 385 | 4.60 | 96 | 1.15 | 39 | 0.47 | 45 | 0.54 | 22 | 0.26 | 9 | 0.11 | 14 | 0.17 | 17 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.02 | 8 | 0.10 | 10 | 0.12 | 7 | 0.08 | 13 | 0.16 | 8,367 |
Scott | 159 | 44.41 | 55 | 15.36 | 73 | 20.39 | 16 | 4.47 | 11 | 3.07 | 13 | 3.63 | 4 | 1.12 | 6 | 1.68 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 1.68 | 5 | 1.40 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1.12 | 1 | 0.28 | 1 | 0.28 | 3 | 0.84 | 1 | 0.28 | 358 |
Searcy | 121 | 36.56 | 82 | 24.77 | 52 | 15.71 | 45 | 13.60 | 12 | 3.63 | 8 | 2.42 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.60 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.30 | 331 |
Sebastian | 2,735 | 35.85 | 1,919 | 25.15 | 1,486 | 19.48 | 671 | 8.80 | 328 | 4.30 | 194 | 2.54 | 91 | 1.19 | 56 | 0.73 | 10 | 0.13 | 22 | 0.29 | 8 | 0.10 | 9 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.05 | 14 | 0.18 | 10 | 0.13 | 3 | 0.04 | 63 | 0.83 | 6 | 0.08 | 7,629 |
Sevier | 255 | 47.22 | 105 | 19.44 | 94 | 17.41 | 32 | 5.93 | 11 | 2.04 | 9 | 1.67 | 6 | 1.11 | 5 | 0.93 | 3 | 0.56 | 5 | 0.93 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 1.11 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0.93 | 540 |
Sharp | 417 | 41.49 | 195 | 19.40 | 188 | 18.71 | 64 | 6.37 | 42 | 4.18 | 34 | 3.38 | 11 | 1.09 | 21 | 2.09 | 7 | 0.70 | 1 | 0.10 | 7 | 0.70 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0.10 | 6 | 0.60 | 4 | 0.40 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0.20 | 1,005 |
St. Francis | 1,182 | 55.03 | 297 | 13.83 | 368 | 17.13 | 84 | 3.91 | 27 | 1.26 | 34 | 1.58 | 10 | 0.47 | 15 | 0.70 | 20 | 0.93 | 10 | 0.47 | 14 | 0.65 | 11 | 0.51 | 16 | 0.74 | 20 | 0.93 | 19 | 0.88 | 5 | 0.23 | 13 | 0.61 | 3 | 0.14 | 2,148 |
Stone | 343 | 33.83 | 246 | 24.26 | 158 | 15.58 | 112 | 11.05 | 48 | 4.73 | 41 | 4.04 | 13 | 1.28 | 15 | 1.48 | 2 | 0.20 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.10 | 5 | 0.49 | 3 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.20 | 17 | 1.68 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0.39 | 1 | 0.10 | 1,014 |
Union | 1,350 | 54.09 | 450 | 18.03 | 356 | 14.26 | 113 | 4.53 | 51 | 2.04 | 38 | 1.52 | 14 | 0.56 | 15 | 0.60 | 29 | 1.16 | 2 | 0.08 | 8 | 0.32 | 25 | 1.00 | 16 | 0.64 | 4 | 0.16 | 7 | 0.28 | 9 | 0.36 | 4 | 0.16 | 5 | 0.20 | 2,496 |
Van Buren | 418 | 37.79 | 198 | 17.90 | 217 | 19.62 | 121 | 10.94 | 43 | 3.89 | 55 | 4.97 | 21 | 1.90 | 12 | 1.08 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 0.18 | 3 | 0.27 | 5 | 0.45 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0.09 | 1,106 |
Washington | 6,914 | 28.33 | 8,491 | 34.79 | 3,007 | 12.32 | 3,884 | 15.91 | 920 | 3.77 | 687 | 2.81 | 149 | 0.61 | 157 | 0.64 | 22 | 0.09 | 58 | 0.24 | 14 | 0.06 | 22 | 0.09 | 17 | 0.07 | 14 | 0.06 | 14 | 0.06 | 8 | 0.03 | 9 | 0.04 | 19 | 0.08 | 24,406 |
White | 1,401 | 42.53 | 685 | 20.80 | 599 | 18.18 | 284 | 8.62 | 86 | 2.61 | 111 | 3.37 | 26 | 0.79 | 29 | 0.88 | 14 | 0.43 | 17 | 0.52 | 9 | 0.27 | 4 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.12 | 6 | 0.18 | 4 | 0.12 | 4 | 0.12 | 8 | 0.24 | 3 | 0.09 | 3,294 |
Woodruff | 303 | 43.66 | 120 | 17.29 | 119 | 17.15 | 57 | 8.21 | 12 | 1.73 | 15 | 2.16 | 15 | 2.16 | 8 | 1.15 | 3 | 0.43 | 6 | 0.86 | 5 | 0.72 | 3 | 0.43 | 4 | 0.58 | 3 | 0.43 | 8 | 1.15 | 6 | 0.86 | 6 | 0.86 | 1 | 0.14 | 694 |
Yell | 342 | 36.42 | 166 | 17.68 | 161 | 17.15 | 88 | 9.37 | 36 | 3.83 | 60 | 6.39 | 25 | 2.66 | 11 | 1.17 | 3 | 0.32 | 4 | 0.43 | 3 | 0.32 | 10 | 1.06 | 7 | 0.75 | 3 | 0.32 | 5 | 0.53 | 2 | 0.21 | 8 | 0.85 | 5 | 0.53 | 939 |
Total | 93,011 | 40.59 | 51,413 | 22.44 | 38,312 | 16.72 | 22,970 | 10.03 | 7,649 | 3.34 | 7,009 | 3.06 | 2,053 | 0.90 | 1,593 | 0.70 | 715 | 0.31 | 715 | 0.31 | 574 | 0.25 | 572 | 0.25 | 501 | 0.22 | 485 | 0.21 | 443 | 0.19 | 408 | 0.18 | 393 | 0.17 | 304 | 0.13 | 229,120 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f Candidate withdrew after early voting had started.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Klobuchar with 7%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%
- ^ Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
- ^ Klobuchar with 4.8%; Yang with 2%; "someone else" with 3.3%
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
- ^ Putnam, Josh (March 25, 2019). "Arkansas Presidential Primary to Super Tuesday". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
- ^ "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
- ^ "Arkansas Elects Delegates To The Democratic National Convention". Democratic Party of Arkansas. May 30, 2022. Retrieved September 19, 2022.
- ^ "Arkansas Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
- ^ "Arkansas Secretary of State". www.ark.org. Retrieved February 21, 2021.
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress
- ^ The Progress Campaign (D)
- ^ Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics
- ^ "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 23, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election". clarityelections.com. Arkansas Secretary of State. April 15, 2020. Archived from the original on April 16, 2020. Retrieved April 16, 2020.